The design and evaluation of a Bayesian System for detecting and characterizing outbreaks of influenza

Millett NE, Aronis JM, Wagner MM, Tsui F, Ye Y, Ferrar JP, Huag PJ, Gesteland PH, Cooper GF. The design and evaluation of a Bayesian System for detecting and characterizing outbreaks of influenza. Online Journal of Public Health Informatics, 11(2) (2019). Doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/435727.

The prediction and characterization of outbreaks of infectious diseases such as influenza remains an open and important problem. This paper describes a framework for detecting and characterizing outbreaks of influenza and the results of testing it on data from ten outbreaks collected from two locations over five years. We model outbreaks with compartment models and explicitly model non-influenza influenza-like illnesses.

Publication Year: 
2018
Publication Credits: 
Millett NE, Aronis JM, Wagner MM, Tsui F, Ye Y, Ferrar JP, Huag PJ, Gesteland PH, Cooper GF
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