Department of Biomedical Informatics - University of Pittsburgh

Bayesian Modeling for Biosurveillance

Publications

[Cami 2008a] Cami A, Wallstrom GL, Hogan WR. Effect of commuting on the detection and characterization performance of the Bayesian aerosol release detector. In: Proceedings of the Bioinformatics and Biomedicine Workshops, IEEE International Conference (2008) 91 -98. [pdf]

[Cami 2008b] Cami A, Wallstrom GL, Hogan WR. Integrating a commuting model with the Bayesian aerosol release detector. In: Proceeding of BioSecure (2008) 85-96. [pdf]

[Chen 2008] Chen L, Dubrawski A, Ray S, Baysek M, Kelley L, Dunham A, Huckabee M, Fedorka-Cray PJ, Jackson C, McGlinchey B. Detecting linkages between human illness and Salmonella isolates in food using a new tool for spatio-temporal analysis of multistream data. In: Proceedings of the Symposium of the American Medical Informatics Association (2008) 900. [pdf]

[Cooper 2004] Cooper GF, Dash DH, Levander JD, Wong WK, Hogan WR, and Wagner MM. Bayesian biosurveillance of disease outbreaks. Proceedings of the Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (2004) 94-103. [pdf]

[Cooper 2006] Cooper GF, Dowling JN, Levander JD, Sutovsky P. A Bayesian algorithm for detecting CDC Category A outbreak diseases from emergency dept chief complaints. In: Advances in Disease Surveillance 2 (2006) 45. [pdf]

[Das 2007] Das K, Schneider J. Detecting anomalous records in categorical datasets. In: Proceeding of the ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining  (2007) 220-229. [pdf]

[Das 2008a] Das K, Schneider J, Neill D. Anomaly pattern detection in categorical datasets. In: Proceeding of the ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (2008) 169-176. [pdf]

[Das 2008b] Das K, Schneider J, Neill DB. Anomaly pattern detection for biosurveillance. Advances in Disease Surveillance 5 (2008) 19. [pdf]

[Das 2009] Das K. Anomalous Pattern Detection. Doctoral Dissertation, Machine Learning Department, Carnegie Mellon University (2009). [pdf]

[Dubrawski  2007a] Dubrawski A, Baysek M, Mikus S, McDaniel C, Mowry B, Moyer L, Ostlund J, Sondheimer N, Stewart T. Applying outbreak detection algorithms to prognostics. In: Proceedings of the AAAI Fall Symposium on Artificial Intelligence in Prognostics (2007). [pdf]

[Dubrawski  2007b] Dubrawski A, Ostlund J, Chen L, Moore AW. Computationally efficient scoring of activity in large social networks using connectivity patterns and demographics of entities. In: Proceedings of the Workshop on Artificial Intelligence and Data Mining (2007). [pdf]

[Dubrawski 2007c] Dubrawski A, Sabhnani M, Ray S, Roure J, XBaysek M, T-Cube as an enabling technology in surveillance applications, Advances in Disease Surveillance 4 (2007) 6. [pdf] 

[Dubrawski 2008a] Dubrawski A, Sabhnani M, Ray S, Baysek M, Chen L, Ostlund J, Knight M. Interactive manipulation, visualization and analysis of large sets of multidimensional time series in health informatics. In: Proceedings of the INFORMS Workshop on Data Mining and Health Informatics (2008). [pdf]

[Dubrawski 2008b] Dubrawski A, Chen L, Ostlund J. Using the AFDL algorithm to estimate the risk of positive outcomes of microbial tests at food establishments. Advances in Disease Surveillance 5 (2008) 102. [pdf]

[Dubrawski 2009a] Dubrawski A. Detection of events in multiple streams of surveillance data. In: Castillo-Chavez C, Chen H, Lober W, Thurmond M, and Zeng D (eds.) Infectious Disease Informatics: Public Health and Biodefense (Springer-Verlag, 2009 in press). [pdf]

[Dubrawski 2009b] Dubrawski A, Sabhnani M, Knight M, Baysek M, Neill D, Ray S, Michalska A, Waidyanatha N. T-Cube web interface in support of a real-time bio-surveillance program, (extended demo abstract). In: Proceedings of the IEEE/ACM International Conference on Information and Communication Technologies and Development (2009). [pdf]

[Dubrawski 2009c] Dubrawski A, Sarkar P, Chen L. Trade-offs between agility and reliability of predictions in dynamic social networks used to model risk of microbial contamination of food. In: Proceedings of the International Conference on Advances in Social Networks Analysis and Mining, Athens, Greece (2009). [pdf]

[Espino 2007] Espino J, Dowling J, Levander J, Sutovsky P, Wagner MW, Cooper GF, SyCo: A Probabilistic Machine Learning Method for Classifying Chief Complaints into Symptom and Syndrome Categories,  Advances in Disease Surveillance 2 (2007) 5. [pdf]

[Hogan 2006] Hogan WR. Chapter 19: Atmospheric dispersion modeling in biosurveillance. In: Wagner MM, Moore AW, Aryel RM (eds.) Handbook of Biosurveillance (Academic Press, 2006). [pdf]

[Hogan 2007] Hogan WR, Cooper GF, Wallstrom GL, Wagner MM, Depinay JM. The Bayesian aerosol release detector: An algorithm for detecting and characterizing outbreaks caused by an atmospheric release of Bacillus Anthracis. Statistics in Medicine 26 (2007) 5225-5252. [pdf]

[Jaing 2006] Jiang X, Wallstrom GL. A Bayesian Network for Outbreak Detection and Prediction. Proceedings of AAAI-06 (2006) 1155-1160. [pdf]

[Jaing 2007a] Jiang X, Cooper GF, Levander J. A Bayesian network model for spatial cluster detection. UAI Workshop on Bayesian Modeling Applications (2007). [pdf]

[Jiang 2007b] Jiang, X, and Cooper, GF. A recursive algorithm for spatial cluster detection. In: Proceedings of the Symposium of the American Medical Informatics Association (AMIA) (2007): 369-373. [pdf]

[Jiang 2008a] Jiang X. A Bayesian Network Model for Spatiotemporal Event Detection. Doctoral dissertation, Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of Pittsburgh (2008).

[Jiang 2008b] Jiang X, Cooper GF. A temporal method for outbreak detection using a Bayesian network. Advances in Disease Surveillance 5 (2008) 105. [pdf]

[Jiang 2008c] Jiang X, Wagner MM, Cooper GF, Modeling the temporal trend of the daily severity of an outbreak using Bayesian networks, Innovations in Bayesian Networks of Studies in Computational Intelligence, Springer-Verlag, (2008). [link]

[Jiang 2009a] Jiang XI, Neill DB, Cooper GF. On the robustness of Bayesian network based spatial event surveillance. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning (to appear).

[Jiang 2009b] Jiang X, Cooper GF. A real-time temporal Bayesian architecture for event surveillance and its application to patient-specific multiple disease outbreak detection. Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery (to appear). [pdf]

[Jiang 2009c] Jiang X, Cooper GF. A Bayesian spatio-temporal method for disease outbreak detection (under review).

[Jiang 2009d] Jiang X, Cooper GF, Neill DB. Generalized AMOC curves for evaluation and improvement of event surveillance. In: Proceedings of the Symposium of the American Medical Informatics Association (2009). [pdf]

[Kong 2008] Kong X, Wallstrom GL, Hogan WR. A temporal extension of the Bayesian aerosol release detector. In: Proceedings of BioSecure (2008) 97–107. [pdf]

[Kulldorf 2007] Kulldorff M, Mostashari F, Luiz FD, Yih K, Kleinman K, Platt R. Multivariate scan statistics for disease surveillance. Statistics in Medicine 26 (2007). [pdf]

[Makatchev 2008a] Makatchev M, Neill D. Learning outbreak regions in Bayesian spatial scan statistics. In: Proceedings of the ICML/UAI/COLT Workshop on Machine Learning for Health Care Applications (2008). [pdf]

[Makatchev 2008b] Makatchev M, Neill DB. Learning outbreak regions for Bayesian spatial biosurveillance. Advances in Disease Surveillance 5 (2008) 45. [pdf]

[Neill 2004a] Neill DB, Moore AW. A fast multi-resolution method for detection of significant spatial disease clusters. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 16 (2004) 651-658. [pdf]

[Neill 2004b] Neill DB, Moore AW. Rapid detection of significant spatial clusters. In: Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (2004) 256-265. [pdf]

[Neill 2005a] Neill DB, Moore AW. Efficient scan statistic computations. In A. Lawson and K. Kleinman (eds.) Spatial and Syndromic Surveillance for Public Health (2005) 189-202.

[Neill 2005b] Neill DB, Moore AW, Pereira F, Mitchell T. Detecting significant multidimensional spatial clusters. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 17 (2005) 969-976. [pdf]

[Neill 2005c] Neill DB, Moore AW, Sabhnani MR, Daniel K. Detection of emerging space-time clusters. In: Proceedings of the ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (2005) 218-227. [pdf]

[Neill 2006a] Neill DB. Detection of Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Clusters. Doctoral Disseration, School of Computer Science, Carnegie Mellon University (2006). [pdf]

[Neill 2006b] Neill DB, Moore AW, Cooper GF. A Bayesian spatial scan statistic. Neural Information Processing Systems 18 (2006) 1003-1010. [pdf]

[Neill 2006c] Neill DB, Moore AW, and Cooper GF. A Bayesian scan statistic for spatial cluster detection. Advances in Disease Surveillance 1 (2006) 55. [pdf]

[Neill 2007a] Neill DB, Sabhnani MR. A robust expectation-based spatial scan statistic. Advances in Disease Surveillance 2 (2007) 61. [pdf]

[Neill 2007b] Neill DB, Lingwall J. A nonparametric scan statistic for multivariate disease surveillance. Advances in Disease Surveillance 4 (2007) 106. [pdf]

[Neill 2007c] Neill DB, Moore AW, Cooper GF. A multivariate Bayesian scan statistic. Advances in Disease Surveillance 2 (2007) 60. [pdf]

[Neill 2007d] Neill DB. Incorporating learning into disease surveillance systems. Advances in Disease Surveillance 4 (2007) 107. [pdf]

[Neill 2008] Neill DB. Fast and flexible outbreak detection by linear-time subset scanning. Advances in Disease Surveillance 5 (2008) 48. [pdf]

[Neill 2009a] Neill DB. Expectation-based scan statistics for monitoring spatial time series data. International Journal of Forecasting 25 (2009) 498-517. [pdf]

[Neill 2009b] Neill DB. An empirical comparison of spatial scan statistics for outbreak detection. International Journal of Health Geographics 8 (2009) 20. [pdf]

[Neill 2009c] Neill DB, Cooper GF. A multivariate Bayesian scan statistic for early event detection and characterization. Machine Learning (in press). [pdf]

[Neill 2009d] Neill DB, Cooper GF, Das K, Jiang X, Schneider J. Bayesian network scan statistics for multivariate pattern detection. In: J. Glaz, V. Pozdnyakov, and S. Wallenstein (eds.) Scan Statistics: Methods and Applications (Birkhäuser, 2009). [pdf]

[Que 2008a] Que J, Tsui FC. A multilevel spatial clustering algorithm for detection of disease outbreaks. In: Proceedings to the Symposium of the American Medical Informatics Association (2008) 611-615. [pdf]

[Que 2008b] Que J, Tsui FC, Espino J. A Z-Score based multi-level spatial clustering algorithm for the detection of disease outbreaks. In: Proceedings of Biosecure (2008) 108-118. [pdf]

[Que 2009] Que J, Tsui FC. Rank-based spatial clustering: A framework for rapid outbreak detection (under review).

[Ray 2008] Ray S, Michalska A, Sabhnani M, Dubrawski A, Baysek M, Chen L, Ostlund J. Tcube web interface: A tool for immediate visualization, interactive manipulation and analysis of large sets of multivariate time series. In: Proceedings of the Symposium of the American Medical Informatics Association (2008) 1106.

[Rolka 2007] Rolka H, Burkom H, Cooper GF, Kulldorff M, Madigan D, Wong WK. Issues in applied statistics for public health bioterrorism surveillance using multiple data streams: Research needs. Statistics In Medicine 26 (2007) 1834-1856. [pdf]

[Roure 2007a ] Roure J, Dubrawski A, Schneider J. A study into detection of bio-events in multiple streams of surveillance data. In D. Zeng et al. (eds.): BioSurveillance 2007, Lecture Notes in Computer Science 4506 (2007) 124–133. [pdf]

[Roure 2007b] Roure J, Dubrawski A, Schneider J. Learning specific detectors of adverse events in multivariate time series. Advances in Disease Surveillance 4 (2007) 111. [pdf]

[Roure 2008] Roure J, Dubrawski A, Schneider J. Learning detectors of events in multivariate time series. In: Proceedings of the Symposium of the American Medical Informatics Association (2008) 171. [pdf]

[Sabhanani 2005a] Sabhnani MR, Neill DB, et al. Detecting anomalous patterns in pharmacy retail data. Proceedings of the KDD Workshop on Data Mining Methods for Anomaly Detection 7 (2005) 132-137. [pdf]

[Sabhanani 2005b] Sabhnani MR, Neill DB, Moore AW, Dubrawski AW, Wong WK. Efficient analytics for effective monitoring of biomedical security. Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on Information and Automation (2005) 87-92. [pdf]

[Sabhnani 2007a] Sabhnani M, Dubrawski A, Schneider J. Multivariate time series analyses using primitive univariate algorithms. Advances in Disease Surveillance 4 (2007)  112. [pdf]

[Sabhnani 2007b] Sabhnani MR, Moore AW, and Dubrawski A. Rapid processing of ad-hoc queries against large sets of time series. Advances in Disease Surveillance 2 (2007) 66. [pdf]

[Sahin 2009] Sahin I, Tsui FC. Evaluation of the Bayesian aerosol release detector using the second order closure integrated PUFF and the fifth-generation mesoscale model (in preparation).

[Sarkar 2005] Sarkar P, Moore A. Dynamic social network analysis using latent space models. ACM SIGKDD Explorations Newsletter 7 (2005) 31-40. [pdf]

[Sarkar 2008] Sarkar P, Chen L, Dubrawski A. Dynamic network model for predicting occurrences of Salmonella at food facilities. In: Proceedings of BioSecure (2008) 56–63. [pdf]

[Shen 2005] Shen Y, Wong WK, Cooper GF. Estimating the expected warning time of outbreak-detection algorithms. In: Advances in Disease Surveillance 1 (2006) 65. [pdf]

[Shen 2006] Shen Y, Wong WK, and Cooper GF. A generalization of the AMOC curve. Advances in Disease Surveillance 1 (2006) 65 [pdf]

[Shen 2007a] Shen Y, Cooper GF. A Bayesian biosurveillance method that models unknown outbreak diseases. Proceedings of Intelligence and Security Informatics: Biosurveillance (2007) 209-215. [pdf]

[Shen 2007b] Shen, Y, Wong WK, Levander J and Cooper GF. An outbreak detection algorithm that efficiently performs complete Bayesian model averaging over all possible spatial distributions of disease. Advances in Disease Surveillance 4 (2007):113. [pdf]

[Shen 2008] Shen Y, Adamou C, Dowling JN, Cooper GF. Estimating the joint disease outbreak-detection time when an automated biosurveillance system is augmenting traditional clinical case finding. Journal of Biomedical Informatics 41 (2008) 224-231. [pdf

[Shen 2009a] Shen Y, Cooper GF. A new prior for Bayesian anomaly detection – Application to biosurveillance. Methods of Information in Medicine (to appear).

[Shen 2009b] Shen Y, Cooper GF. Bayesian modeling of unknown diseases for biosurveillance. In: Proceedings of the Symposium of the American Medical Informatics Association (2009). [pdf]

[Shen 2009c] Shen Y. Bayesian Modeling of Anomalies Due to Known and Unknown Causes. Doctoral Dissertation, Intelligent Systems Program, University of Pittsburgh (2009). [pdf]

[Siddiqui 2007a] Siddiqi S, Boots B, Gordon GJ. A constraint generation approach to learning stable linear dynamical systems. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems (2007).  [pdf]

[Siddiqui 2007b] Siddiqi S, Boots B, Gordon GJ, Dubrawski AW. Learning stable multivariate baseline models for outbreak detection. Advances in Disease Surveillance 4 (2007) 266. [pdf]     

[Sutovsky 2008] Sutovsky P, Cooper GF. Hierarchical explanation of inference in Bayesian networks that represent a population of independent agents. In: Proceedings of the European Conference on Artificial Intelligence (2008) 214-218. [pdf]

[Tsui 2009] Tsui FC, Dowling J. Evaluation of emergency department reports and chief complaints for influenza detection using Bayesian case detector (in preparation).

[USDA 2008] USDA. Food Safety Inspection Service, U.S. Department of Agriculture: Data analysis for public health risk-based inspection system for processing and slaughter, Appendix E - Data analyses (2008). [pdf]

[Wagner 2006] Wagner MM, Moore AW, Aryel RM (eds.), Handbook of Biosurveillance (Academic Press, 2006).

[Wong 2005a] Wong WK, Cooper GF, Dash DH, Levander JD, Dowling JN, Hogan WR, Wagner MM. Bayesian biosurveillance using multiple data streams. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report Supplement 54 (2005) 63-69. [pdf]

[Wong 2005b] Wong WK, Cooper GF, Dash DH, Levander JD, Dowling JN, Hogan WR, and Wagner MM. Population-wide anomaly detection. Data Mining Methods for Anomaly Detection Workshop at the Eleventh ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (2005) 79-83. [pdf]

[Wong 2005c] Wong WK, Moore AW, Cooper GF, Wagner MM. What's Strange About Recent Events (WSARE): An algorithm for the early detection of disease outbreaks. Journal of Machine Learning Research 6 (2005) 1961-1998. [pdf]

[Zhang 2008] Zhang Y, Schneider J, Dubrawski A. Learning the semantic correlation: An alternative way to gain from unlabeled text. In: Proceedings of the Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NIPS) (2008) 1945-1952. [pdf]


This material is based upon work supported by the National Science Foundation under Grant No. 0325581. Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Science Foundation.